It has a high percentage of working-class whites, and although the Hispanic vote is fairly large, it’s still dwarfed by the white vote. There are more white working-class Democrats for her to lose than there are white college-educated Republicans for her to pick up. In the longer run, it’s not healthy for Republicans to get crushed there by the Hispanic vote. Maybe the Republicans hit their ceiling among white working-class voters in Florida (I think it’s happening in Georgia, or at least very near it). But something that shouldn’t be lost is the influence of the black vote.

Source: New York Times August 11, 2016 10:52 UTC