Since 8 October, the second day of the mounting Gaza war, Hizbollah and Israel have traded sporadic fire over the Lebanese-Israeli border. Separately, Israeli operations in Gaza may transgress boundaries that induce Hizbollah to enter the fray, turning the Gaza war into a broader Middle Eastern conflict. Until now, the exchanges of fire have remained within the bounds that Hizbollah and Israel have set over the years. Events since the beginning of the Gaza war suggest that the pattern of mutual deterrence holds. Events since the beginning of the Gaza war suggest that the pattern of mutual deterrence holds.

Source: The North Africa Journal October 14, 2023 22:34 UTC