However, the more telling special elections might have been a handful in more rural districts President Trump won by overwhelming margins. President Trump won 58.1 percent of the vote there in 2016, a margin of more than 20 points over Hillary Clinton. For Democrats, the first-tier districts remain roughly three dozen largely suburban and well-educated areas, but they’re now eyeing second- and third-tier races in case the wave is as big as some Democrats hope. To be sure, Maloney is not expecting to win that many seats, particularly those in some deeply rural districts. “It spells doom for a certain layer of Republicans, in the kind of suburban districts that are offended by the president,” he said.

Source: Washington Post April 28, 2018 14:48 UTC