Kenyan scientists are predicting that up to 400 people will die from Covid-19 this month. This simulation is based on the Ministry of Health model that shows the infections could reach 10,000 by April 31. Most models predict Kenya's case fatality rate, even in the current circumstances, will be higher. "Going by case fatality rate of five per cent, it means approximately 1.4 million Kenyans will die if we do nothing," she says. Kenya's modelling mirrors that of Uganda where the Ministry of Health, says the country will have 18, 878 cases (at a three per cent fatality rate, 566.34 deaths) by April 31.

Source: The Star April 07, 2020 04:52 UTC