The pollsters actually did not do as badly as you might think in handling Alberta’s 2015 election, if you look back. No individual candidate in the PC or Wildrose parties got more than 54.6 per cent of the total vote anywhere in 2015. In 2015 they could not have asked for a more evenly split opposition (PC 27.9 per cent, Wildrose 24.3 per cent). Alberta’s new election map keeps riding populations within tight bounds, so there is not much of a rural advantage baked into the seat math. A B.C.-type scenario, with vast oceans of dyed-orange votes in Edmonton failing to pay off in legislature seats, is possible.

Source: National Post April 01, 2019 13:52 UTC