In 2016, 52 percent of students in Scholastic’s mock election voted for Hillary Clinton to Trump’s 35 percent. The mock election is not perfect as a predictor, but it has a pretty good win-loss record. The 2016 contest was only the third time since 1940 that the students’ choice didn’t match the national outcome. In 2000, for instance, 51 percent of students voted for George W. Bush while 41 percent went for Al Gore. In the real election, Trump won Pennsylvania by less than a percentage point.

Source: Washington Post October 30, 2020 22:07 UTC