Based on the polls that led up to the United States elections last Nov. 5, what are the lessons for us Filipino survey users and doers, heading towards our own national and local elections next May 12th? I recommend the piece, “2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump,” by G. Elliott Morris, abcnews.go.com, 11/9/2024. In six of the seven main swing states (since the Arizona count was still incomplete), the miss was only 2.2 points. Personally, I don’t recommend the panel approach—which means returning to old respondents and re-polling them. They will provide insight on election issues and personalities of years ago, which may be meaningful for today.

Source: ABC News November 15, 2024 22:32 UTC