“Even the mighty have been humbled” by Trump’s victory, the Times of London said of Selzer’s polling failure. Surprise sweep of swing statesTrump’s sweep of the seven vigorously contested swing states surely contributed to perceptions that polls had misfired again. AtlasIntel estimated Trump was ahead in all seven swing states by margins that hewed closely to the voting outcomes. In none of the swing states did AtlasIntel’s polling deviate from the final vote tally by more than 1.3 points, an impressive performance. By margins ranging from 0.9 points to 2.7 points, polls overall understated Trump’s support in the seven swing states, for example.

Source: CNN November 16, 2024 10:23 UTC