"I think we'll pick up between 25 and 70 seats in the House," the former Republican House speaker said in an interview with FoxSeventy seats! "The party of the president typically loses U.S. House seats in midterm elections -- an average of 23 since 1974. Consider:2022Biden approval: 41%Congressional approval: 18%US satisfaction: 16%Economic conditions (net): -322010Obama approval: 45%Congressional approval: 21%US satisfaction: 22%Economic conditions (net): -31Pretty similar, right? If anything, the national political environment -- as understood through these four factors -- is worse for Democrats now than it was in 2010. b) The 2020 election, in which Republicans netted 12 House seats, likely limits the ceiling of GOP gains since some of the lower-hanging fruit has already been, um, picked.

Source: CNN June 18, 2022 05:57 UTC