The University of Virginia’s Crystal Ball recently moved seven traditional Republican strongholds — Alaska, Indiana, Kansas, Missouri, Montana, South Carolina and Utah — into the slate of potentially competitive presidential races. Last week, Cook moved Florida, traditionally the country’s largest battleground prize, from a tossup to favoring Mr. Biden. (In The Atlantic, Peter Nicholas does a good job at laying out some of the factors that could cut in Mr. Trump’s favor. It does not, however, seem as if Mr. Trump’s advisers have some grand plan to shift the current trajectory. “These trends are going to go unnoticed until election night, when we’re right and they’re wrong,” Mr. Stepien said.

Source: New York Times July 27, 2020 22:52 UTC