2 to 8 tropical cyclones likely in early 2026According to the forecast presented on Thursday by Ana Liza Solis during the 191st climate forum, tropical cyclone activity during the first half of 2026 is expected to be relatively low. Some areas may experience cooler-than-average conditions early in the year, followed by a gradual warming trend beginning in March. Rainfall forecasts indicate above-normal to near-normal rainfall in January across most regions, except in western Luzon, where below-normal rainfall is expected. May is expected to bring near-normal rainfall nationwide, while June will likely maintain near-normal conditions with some regional variations. It is expected to persist into early 2026, with a transition to ENSO-neutral conditions likely between January and March.

Source: Philippine Star December 23, 2025 16:01 UTC