The United States trades a relatively skimpy amount with Turkey, and U.S. banks likewise don’t have much exposure there. And in Turkey's case, there appears to be little immediate downside for the U.S. to doing so. “It would be very difficult to change course, because Turkey is so integrated into the Western system,” Aliriza says. Those earnings are on the rise as trade negotiations with allies linger on and [Trump] moves to hike tariff rates on countries like Turkey." Economic growth will slow to 2.4 percent in 2019 and to 1.7 percent in 2020, staying at about that level over the next decade, the CBO projected."