The seat-by-seat YouGov poll, the second such poll since the election, indicates the party has extended its lead over Labour, significantly increasing Mr Farage’s chances of entering Downing Street in 2029. In June, the last time YouGov conducted a seat-by-seat poll, it put Reform on track to have 271 MPs. This is down from the 178 MPs YouGov predicted they would win in their last MRP poll. The poll shows that 231 Labour seats would be lost to Reform, 26 would be lost to the SNP, and the remaining 10 would be split between the other parties. There are now an increasing number of Labour MPs looking to Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham as a possible successor to the prime minister.