As of this writing it was looking like Taiwan is about to lose Tuvalu after the recent election there. Similarly, in 2019 the Solomon Islands, neighbors to Bougainville, switched from Taiwan to the PRC, another move in the Great Game in the Pacific. Taiwan offers numerous such cleavages for Beijing to exploit. Occasionally, one even hears proposals that Taipei could be split off from the rest of Taiwan as Northern Ireland is from Ireland. I do not know of any research finding this in Taiwan, but the structure of support for Ko is suggestive of future trends.
