CIVIL wars are very disruptive political events. The greater issue with interventions isn’t only their legality and legitimacy, but their tendency to prolong civil wars. In Third-party Interventions and the Duration of Intrastate Conflicts,political scientist Patrick Regan conducted a hazard analysis on civil wars from 1944 to 1999. The pattern of bandwagoning and balancing in a civil war context has changed since the end of the Cold War. This opposing interventions prolong the civil war because they send a signal to domestic combatants that they have external patrons providing them the support they need, so they keep on fighting.
Source: Manila Times April 16, 2018 16:18 UTC