And indeed, nothing we're witnessing in the early vote so far suggests that the polls are off. The issue is that we really don't know the extent to which the early vote will be more Democratic-leaning than the overall tally. And remember, a vote cast on Election Day is worth the exact same as a vote cast early. With perhaps the exception of Nevada analyst Jon Ralston , I've never seen anyone consistently extrapolate early voting trends to predict election results. Just be careful in trying to figure out who is going to win from early voting statistics.
Source: CNN October 17, 2020 14:03 UTC